THEORY OF OPTIMUM CURRENCY AREAS AS CONCEPTUAL BACKGROUND FOR REGIONAL MONETARY UNIONS
Keywords:
Optimum (optimal) currency area, monetary union, regional monetary union, monetary integration, single currency, monetary policy, «impossible trinity», the European Monetary System.Abstract
The evolution of the theory of optimum currency areas is researched and the positive and negative effects of monetary integration are examined. The main criteria of the theory of optimum currency areas are summarized and their value is shown. The reasons for losing the independence of monetary policy in the process of monetary integration through the prism of a so-called «incompatible triangle» or «impossible trinity» are highlighted. European way to overcome the «impossible trinity» is demonstrated and the role of the theory of optimum currency areas for the European Economic and Monetary Union is considered. It was argued that there are no prerequisites in the nearest future in Ukraine to pass all stages of integration needed to join the monetary union. Theory of OCA could be helpful for estimation the overall appropriateness of monetary integration, analysis of its potential benefits or disadvantages and selection of instruments for exchange rate policy.
References
Козюк В. В. Фіскальний вимір теорії оптимальних валютних зон у світлі дивергенції ЄВС / В. В. Козюк // Економічна теорія. - 2014. - № 3. -С.82-98.
Ліщинський І. Вплив регіоналізації ринків нафти на динаміку валютних курсів та процеси валютної інтеграції / І. Ліщинський, М. Лизун // Економічний простір. - 2015. - № 100. - С. 13-23.
Савельєв Є. Валютні режими і валютнокурсова політика України у вимірах «благословенної» і «неблагословенної» трійці / Є. Савельєв, Т. Сіску // Журнал європейської економіки. - 2016. - Т. 15, № 2. - С. 143-171.
Сибирская А. Методологические аспекты валютной интеграции / А. Сибирская // Беларусская думка. - 2014. - № 10.
Balassa B. The Theory of Economic Integration / B. Balassa. - London : Allew and Unwin, 1961.
Baldwin R. On the Growth Effects of 1992 / R. Baldwin // Economic Policy. -1989. - № 11.
Baldwin R. The euro’s trade effects / R. Baldwin // ECB Working Paper. -2006. - № 594.
Bini-Smaghi L. The Policy History of the Maastricht Treaty: the Transition to the Final Stage of EMU / L. Bini-Smaghi, T. Padoa-Schioppa, F. Papadia // CEPR The Monetary Future of Europe, Centre for Economic Policy Research. -London, 1993.
De Grauwe P. The Governance of a Fragile Eurozone / P. De Grauwe // CEPS Working Documents, Economic Policy. - 2011. - May.
Francesco Paolo Mongelli. European economic and monetary integration and the optimum currency area theory / Francesco Paolo Mongelli // Economic Papers 302. - 2008. - February.
Frankel J. A. The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria / J. A. Frankel, K. R. Andrew // The Economic Journal. - 1998. - Vol. 108, № 449.
Frankel J. The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria / J. Frankel, A. Rose // Economic Journal. - 1998. - July. - Р. 1009-1025.
Horvath Roman. Optimum Currency Area Theory: A Framework for Discussion about Monetary Integration / Horvath Roman, Lubos Komarek // Warwick Economic Research Papers, 2002.
James C. Ingram. The Case For European Monetary Integration Essays / James C. Ingram // International Finance. - 1973. - № 98.
Jonung Lars. It can’t happen, it’s a bad idea, it won’t last: US economists on the EMU and the Euro, 1989-2002 / Jonung Lars, Drea Eoin // Econ Journal Watch 7.1. - 2010. - Р. 4-52.
Joshua Aizenman. Optimal Currency Area: A 20th Century Idea for the 21st Century? / Joshua Aizenman // NBER Working Paper. - 2016. - № 22097. -March.
Kotlan V. EMU and Asymmetric shocks: A Survey of Adaptation and Insurance Mechanisms / V. Kotlan, M. Machacek // Finance a uver, 51. -
- № 10. - Р. 514-527.
Krugman P. Revenge of the optimum currency area / Paul Krugman // NBER Macroeconomics Annual 27. - 2012. - № 1. - Р. 439-448.
Lyzun M. Evolution of regional monetary integration / M. Lyzun // Сборник доклади. Юбилейна международна научна конференция «Развитието на Българската икономика - 25 години между очакаванията и реальности те» (Свищов, България, 20-21 ноември 2015 р.). - Свищов, 2015. -С.54-62.
McKinnon R. Mundell, the Euro and Optimum Currency Areas / R. McKinnon // Journal of Policy Modeling. - 2000. - 22 (3). - Р. 311-324.
Mundell R. A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas / R. Mundell // American Economic Review. - 1961. - September. - Р. 657-665.
Mundell R. Currency Areas, Volatility and Intervention / R. Mundell // Journal of Policy Modeling. - 2000. - № 22 (3). - Р. 281-299.
Obiyathulla Is math Bacha A common currency area for ASEAN. Issues and feasibility // Applied Economics. - 2008. - № 40. - Р. 515-529.
Peter B. Kenen. Currency Unions and Trade: Variations on Themes by Rose and Persson DP/2002/08Discussion Paper Series (2002).
Rodrik D. The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence / D. Rodrik // John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University Cambridge, MA 02138. - 2007. - August.
Rose A. One Money One Market: Estimating the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade / A. Rose // Economic Policy. - 2000.
Tavlas G. S. The «New» Theory of Optimum Currency Areas / G. S. Tavlas // The World Economy. - 1993. - № 16 (6). - Р. 663-685.
Thomas D. Willetty. Asian monetary cooperation: perspectives from the optimum currency area analysis / Thomas D. Willetty // The Singapore Economic Review. - 2010. - Vol. 55, № 1. - Р. 103-124.
Willett T. D. Crying for Argentina / T. D. Willett // The Milken Institute Review. - 2002. - 2nd Quarter. - Р. 50-59.
Wyplosz C. European Monetary Union: The Dark Sides of a Major Success / С. Wyplosz // Economic Policy. - 2006. - April (46). - Р. 207-247.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).