SMART MANUFACTURING AS A STRATEGIC DETERMINANT OF UKRAINE’S INDUSTRIAL POLICY AMID GLOBAL STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATIONS

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35774/jee2025.03.308

Keywords:

economic development, industrial policy, Industry 4.0, local protectionism, reindustrialization, smart manufacturing.

Abstract

This article substantiates the development of smart manufacturing as a key determinant of Ukraine’s industrial policy in the context of global transformations. Trends in global deindustrialization are analyzed using the Lawrence model, which reveals a unidirectional dynamic: rising GDP per capita leads to a declining share of manufacturing in GDP. Ukraine is currently undergoing accelerated deindustrialization marked by pendulum-like fluctuations, which necessitates the implementation of reindustrialization policies that align with contemporary needs. The study identifies both external and internal factors shaping demand and supply for manufacturing output and evaluates the effectiveness of current «Made in Ukraine» policy initiatives. To operationalize the logic of local protectionism, the research proposes creating registries of goods, services, and activities aligned with Industry 4.0 technologies, as well as the establishment of special regulatory regimes based on industrial parks.

JEL: O25, L52.

Author Biographies

Oleksandr VYSHNEVSKYI, Institute of Industrial Economics of the NAS of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine

Doctor of Economics, Senior Researcher, Deputy Director

Maryna BOZHYK, Institute of Industrial Economics of the NAS of Ukraine, Kyiv, Ukraine

candidate student

References

Amosha, O., Lyakh, O., Soldak, M., & Cherevatskyi, D. (2018). Institutional determinants of implementation of the smart specialization concept: Case for old industrial coal-mining regions in Ukraine. Journal of European Economy, 17(3), 305–332. https://doi.org/10.35774/jee2018.03.305

Bulfone, F., Ergen, T., & Maggor, E. (2024, September) The political economy of conditionality and the new industrial policy (MPIfG Discussion Paper No. 24/6). Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/384354767_The_Political_Economy_of_Conditionality_and_the_New_Industial_Policy

Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine. (2024, December 31). Resolution of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine on approval of the Strategy for the Digital Development of Innovation Activity in Ukraine for the period up to 2030 and approval of the Operational Plan of Measures for its implementation in 2025- 2027 (No. 1351-r). [in Ukrainian]. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/1351-2024-%D1%80#n14

Calvino, F., Dechezleprêtre, A., De Lyon, J., Dernis, H., & Vitkova, A. (2025).

Productivity among firms patenting in fourth industrial revolution technologies: A focus on Canadian firms (OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers No. 2025/18). OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/4b014905-en

Centre for Economic Strategy. (n.d.). Ukraine’s economy during the war tracker [in Ukrainian]. https://ces.org.ua/tracker-economy-during-the-war/

De Meo, L. (2023, March 9). Cars of the future: More software than hardware? [Post]. LinkedIn. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/cars-future-more-softwarethan-hardware-luca-de-meo/

Deineko, L., Tsyplitska, O., Kushnirenko, O., Gakhovych, N., & Zavgorodnia, M. (2023). International experience of post-war industry recovery [in Ukrainian]. Economy of Ukraine, 66(6), 23-52. https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2023.06.023

Di Carlo, D., & Schmitz, L. (2023). Europe first? The rise of EU industrial policy promoting and protecting the single market. Journal of European Public Policy, 30(10), 2063–2096. https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2023.2202684

Donnelly, S. (2023). Semiconductor and ICT industrial policy in the US and EU: Geopolitical threat responses. Politics and Governance, 11(4), 129-139. https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v11i4.7031

Durand, C. (2023, May 15). Hollow states. Sidecar. https://doi.org/10.64590/27r

European Commission. (2023, February 1). Communication: A Green Deal Industrial Plan for the net-zero age. https://commission.europa.eu/document/41514677-9598-4d89-a572-abe21cb037f4_en

European Parliament. (2021, June). South Korea’s pledge to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 [Briefing]. European Parliamentary Research Service. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2021/690693/EPRS_BRI(2021)690693_EN.pdf

Győrffy, D. (2024). Liberal and illiberal industrial policy in the EU: The political economy of building the EV battery value chain in Sweden and Hungary. Comparative European Politics, 22, 574-593. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41295-023-00374-0

Huawei. (2025, May 15) World’s first fleet of 100 5G-A autonomous electric mining trucks launched at Yimin Mine. https://www.huawei.com/en/news/2025/5/yimin-Huaneng-Intelligent-Mining

Kushnirenko, O. (2020). The industry of Ukraine facing the challenges of industry 4.0: Evaluation of limitations and policy tasks [in Ukrainian]. Economy of Ukraine, 63(5), 53-71. https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2020.05.053

Lawrence, R. Z. (2024, August). Behind the curve: Can manufacturing still provide inclusive growth? Peterson Institute Press.

Lawrence, R. Z. (2025, February 24). Manufacturing makes way to services. China Daily, Hong Kong Edition. https://www.chinadailyasia.com/upload/main/pdf/2025/02/24/ca79e80ef639d6d8570767133c2036ba.pdf

Leonard, J., Mancini, D. P., & Kehnscherper, L. (2025, July 5). BlackRock halted Ukraine Fund talks after Trump’s election Win. Bloomberg. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-05/blackrock-haltedukraine-fund-talks-after-trump-s-election-win?srnd=homepage-europe

Mariotti, S. (2025). «Open strategic autonomy» as an industrial policy compass for the EU competitiveness and growth: The good, the bad, or the ugly? Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, 52, 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40812-024-00327-y

Mazur, V. (2016). Problems of the industrial policy in Ukraine [in Ukrainian]. Economy of Ukraine, 59(11), 3-18. https://nasu-periodicals.org.ua/index.php/economyukr/article/view/2016-11-1

Ministry of Economy, Environment and Agriculture of Ukraine. (2025a, April 4). Denmark will allocate 6.7 billion Danish kroner to support Ukraine and develop the Ukrainian defense industry [in Ukrainian]. https://me.gov.ua/News/Detail/b2578f76-00f7-418f-be0d-3cac9628a2c5?lang=uk-UA&isSpecial=True&title=Daniia

Ministry of Economy, Environment and Agriculture of Ukraine. (2025b, August 11). Made in Ukraine [in Ukrainian]. https://me.gov.ua/Documents/Detail?lang=ukUA&id=2ed8e355-81de-49ea-9bdd-ba28db7e0710&title=ZroblenoVUkraini

OECD. (2025a). An institutional framework for industrial policies (OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers No. 180). https://doi.org/10.1787/0135eaba-en

OECD. (2025b). Quantifying industrial strategies 2019-2022: Trends and priorities across 11 OECD countries (OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers No. 179). https://doi.org/10.1787/91e20a26-en

OECD. (2025c). The market implications of industrial subsidies (OECD Trade Policy Papers No. 296). https://doi.org/10.1787/e40b793f-en

Pidorycheva, I., & Bash, A. (2025). Restoration of special economic zones in Ukraine: Focus on reindustrialization and structural transformation of the economy in times of war and post-war period [in Ukrainian]. Economy of Industry, (1), 20–37. https://ojs.econindustry.org/index.php/ep/article/view/318

Prozorro. (n.d.). List of localized products for 2025 [in Ukrainian]. https://prozorro.gov.ua/uk/search/products?yearCreated=2025

Reynolds, E. (2025, January 31). Trump’s industrial policy is more continuity than disruption. Project Syndicate. https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/trump-industrial-policy-similar-to-biden-administration-by-elisabethreynolds-2025-01

Rodrik, D. (2024, April 16). America’s manufacturing renaissance will create few good jobs. Project Syndicate. https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-manufacturing-employment-falling-despite-investment-policies-bydani-rodrik-2024-04?barrier=accesspaylog

Smith, T. J. (2025, April 3). Trump is promising a manufacturing renaissance. Is that even possible? The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/business/economy/trump-tariffs-us-manufacturing-economy.html

The White House. (2025, April 2). Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump declares national emergency to increase our competitive edge, protect our sovereignty, and strengthen our national and economic security. https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-presidentdonald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitiveedge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economicsecurity/

Tunіk-Fryz, V. (2025, April 21). Trump demands the Fed to lower the key interest rate «immediately» [in Ukrainian]. Ekonomichna Pravda. https://epravda.com.ua/finances/tramp-tisne-na-ochilnika-frs-805742/

Ukrainian Chamber of Commerce and Industry. (2025). Business Barometer Report for August 2025 [in Ukrainian]. https://ucci.org.ua/barometr-biznesu/zvit-barometr-biznesu-za-serpen-2025

U.S. Congress. (2022a, August 9). H.R. 4346 – Chips and Science Act (Pub. L. No.117-167, 117th Cong.). https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/housebill/4346

U.S. Congress. (2022b, August 16). H.R. 5376 – Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (Public Law No. 117-169, 117th Cong.). https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/5376

Ustymenko, V., Dzhabrailov, R., Malolitneva, V., & Sieriebriak, S. (2025). Regulatory «sandbox» (platform) as a form of innovation-oriented legal experimentation: The experience of the European Union and prospects for the development of national legislation [in Ukrainian]. Economics and Law, 77(2), 3– 23. https://doi.org/10.15407/econlaw.2025.02.003

Venger, V. (2020). Global experience of industrial policy models’ implementation [in Ukrainian]. Efektyvna Ekonomika, (2). https://doi.org/10.32702/2307-2105-2020.2.70

Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. (2022, October 19). Law of Ukraine on the customs tariff of Ukraine (No. 2697-IX) [in Ukrainian]. https://zakon.rada.gov.ua/laws/show/2697-20#Text

Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. (2024a, June 11). Draft law on industrial policy and predictability of the real sector of the economy (No. 11331) [in Ukrainian]. https://itd.rada.gov.ua/billinfo/Bills/Card/44388

Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. (2024b, June 17). Draft law on industrial policy and ensuring the continuity of business activity under martial law (No. 11331-1) [in Ukrainian]. https://itd.rada.gov.ua/billinfo/Bills/Card/44412

Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. (2024c, June 17). Draft law on the fundamentals of state industrial policy (No. 11331-2) [in Ukrainian]. https://itd.rada.gov.ua/billinfo/Bills/Card/44413

Vyshnevskyi, O. S. (2023). Smart manufacturing: Definition and theory of stimulating development based on local protectionism [in Ukrainian]. Economy of Industry, (3), 5-27. https://doi.org/10.15407/econindustry2023.03.005

Vyshnevskyi, V. (2022). Digital technologies and problems of industrial development [in Ukrainian]. Economy of Ukraine, 65(1), 47–66. https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2022.01.047

Walt, S. M. (1987). The origins of alliances. Cornell University Press.

World Bank. (n.d.-a). GDP per capita (constant 2015 US$) [Dataset]. World Bank Group. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.KD

World Bank. (n.d.-b). Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP) [Dataset]. World Bank Group. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS

World Bank. (n.d.-c). Employment in industry (% of total employment) (modeled ILO estimate) [Dataset]. World Bank Group. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.IND.EMPL.ZS

World Bank. (n.d.-d). Manufacturing, value added (% of GDP) –Korea, Rep., Mexico, Turkiye [Dataset]. World Bank Group. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS?locations=KR-MX-TR

Zaloznova, Y. (2024). Ukraine’s industry: Modern challenges and development problems [in Ukrainian]. Economy of Ukraine, 61(3), 49–68. https://doi.org/10.15407/economyukr.2018.03.049

Zrobleno v Ukrayini [Made in Ukraine]. (n.d.). Programs [in Ukrainian]. https://madeinukraine.gov.ua/#production

Received: July 23, 2025.

Reviewed: August 7, 2025.

Accepted: September 3, 2025.

Downloads

Published

31.10.2025

How to Cite

VYSHNEVSKYI, Oleksandr, and Maryna BOZHYK. “SMART MANUFACTURING AS A STRATEGIC DETERMINANT OF UKRAINE’S INDUSTRIAL POLICY AMID GLOBAL STRUCTURAL TRANSFORMATIONS”. Journal of European Economy, vol. 24, no. 3, Oct. 2025, pp. 308-33, doi:10.35774/jee2025.03.308.