ECONOMIC GROWTH AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT IN OECD COUNTRIES: A TWENTY-YEAR STUDY OF DATA 2000–2019
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35774/jee2021.04.585Keywords:
Economic growth, human development, income inequality.Abstract
The aim of the current research is to determine the factors and processes which influence economic growth and human development in relatively free societies and thereby provide a framework for policy formulation. Countries within the OECD grouping are committed to democratically elected government and market economies and fall into this category. The OECD group comprises 37 countries, including Colombia, and in 2019 accounted for 63% of real global GDP. This research focuses on the data of the thirty-seven countries over the twenty-year period of 2000-2019. Economic data is drawn from the World Bank and the IMF websites; whilst data on development indicators and income inequality is drawn from the UNDP (United Nations Development Programme) and WID (World Inequality database) websites. Analysis of the data in these countries provides insights into the factors and processes which influence economic growth and human development in economies with a democratic political regime. The estimated equation shows that economic growth in OECD countries was significantly higher when incoming investment as a proportion of the size of the economy and openness of the economy were higher, inflation, exchange rate changes and oil prices were lower. Smaller economies in the OECD also had higher economic growth. As the aim of a government is to increase not only the income but also the standard of living of its citizens, it is necessary also to assess the relationship between economic growth and the quality of life and wellbeing of its citizens. Five-year average cross-sectional regressions also show that economic growth in OECD countries is higher in the countries with lower HDI. This report further finds that economic growth has a bi-directional causality with changes in the human development index, and changes in life expectancy and a unidirectional causality with changes in the expected years of schooling (implying higher delivery of education) and changes in the standard of living. Another finding is that income inequality increases with economic growth; both in terms of the share of income of the top 10% and share of the lower 50%. Clearly investment in public goods, and social policies for education, skills training, healthcare and redistribution of wealth need more attention.
JEL: F00, O11, O50, O57.
References
Alfaro, L. (2003). Foreign direct investment and growth: Does the sector matter. Harvard Business School.
Ali, S. (2014). Foreign capital flows and economic growth in Pakistan: An empirical analysis (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 2418056). Social Science Research Network.
Amadeo, K. (2019). Economic growth, its measurements, causes, and effects. The Balance. Retrieved on October 20, 2019 from https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-economic-growth-3306014
Arellano, M., & Stephen B. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297
Babalola, O. O., Danladi, J. D., Akomolafe, K. J., & Ajiboye, O. P. (2015). Inflation, interest rates and economic growth in Nigeria. European Journal of Business and Management, 7, 91–102.
Barro, R. J. (1996). Determinants of economic growth: A cross-country empirical study. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 5698. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w5698
Barro, R. (2000). Inequality and growth in a panel of countries. Journal of Economic Growth, 5, 5-32.
Borensztein, E., De Gregorio, J., & Lee, J.-W. (1998). How does foreign direct investment affect economic growth? Journal of International Economics, 45, 115–135. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(97)00033-0
Bouzid, A. (2012). The relationship of oil prices and economic growth in Tunisia: A vector error correction model analysis. The Romanian Economic Journal, 43, 3–22.
Bruckner, M., & Lederman, D. (2015). Effects of income inequality on economic growth. VOX CEPR’s Policy Portal, 7.
Bucknall, K., (2013). The Difference between «Economic Growth» and «Economic Development». North Carolina: Boson Books.
Chancel L, Alex H, Tancrede V (2018), Reducing Inequalities within Countries: Assessing the Potential of the Sustainable Development Goals Global Policy Volume 9 . Issue 1 . February 2018 Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI)
Chatterji, M., Mohan, S., Dastidiar, S.G., (2014). Relationship between trade openness and economic growth of India: a time series analysis. Journal of Academic Research in Economics 6, 45–69.
Chichi, O.A., Casmir, O.C., (2014). Exchange Rate and the Economic Growth in Nigeria 10.
Chuang, Y.C., (2000). Human capital, exports, and economic growth: a causality analysis for Taiwan, 1952–1995. Review of international economics, 8(4), pp.712-720.
Cingano, F. (2014), «Trends in Income Inequality and its Impact on Economic Growth», OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No.163, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/5jxrjncwxv6j-en
Daly H (2008), Growth and Development: critique of a credo, Population and Development Review 34(3): 511–518 (September 2008)
Daly,H (2013), A further critique of growth economics, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, United State
Dang, G., Pheng, L.S.,(2015). Infrastructure investments in developing economies. Springer Science Business Media Singapore. DOI 10, 978–981.
Dhakal, D., Rahman, S., Upadhyaya, K.P., (2007). Foreign direct investment and economic growth in Asia. Indian Journal of Economics and Business 6, 15.
Dritsakis, N. and Stamatiou, P.,(2016). Trade openness and economic growth: A panel cointegration and causality analysis for the Newest EU countries. Romanian Economic Journal, 18(59), pp.45-60.
Dritsaki, M., Dritsaki, C. and Adamopoulos, A.,(2004). A causal relationship between trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth for Greece. American Journal of applied sciences, 1(3), pp.230-235.
Erbaykal, E., Okuyan, H.A., (2008). Does Inflation Depress Economic Growth? Evidence from Turkey (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 1288783). Social Science Research Network, Rochester, NY.
Fischer, S., (1993). The role of macroeconomic factors in growth. Journal of Monetary Economics 32, 485–512. Accessed from: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(93)90027-D.
Ftiti, Z., Guesmi, K., Teulon, F., Chouachi, S., (2016). Relationship between crude oil prices and economic growth in selected OPEC countries. Journal of Applied Business Research 32, 11.
Gadea, M., Gómez-Loscos, A., Montañés, A., (2016). Oil price and economic growth: a long story? Econometrics 4, 41.
Galor, O. and Zeira, J., (1993). Income distribution and macroeconomics. The review of economic studies, 60(1), pp.35-52.
Gerring, J., Bond, P., Barndt, W.T., Moreno, C., (2005). Democracy and economic growth: A historical perspective. World politics 57, 323–364.
Ghalayini, L., (2011). The interaction between oil price and economic growth. Middle Eastern Finance and Economics 13, 127–141.
Giordono, Leanne,S, Michael Jones and David Rothwell (2019). Social Policy Perspectives on Economic Inequality in Wealthy Countries. Wiley Online Library, https://doi.org/10.1111/psj.12315
Granger, C.W.J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross Spectral Methods.Econometrica.37:424-35.
Grossman, G.M. and Helpman, E., (1991). Innovation and Growth in a Global Economy. MIT Press, Cambridge.
Gujarati, D. N., (2004). Basic Econometrics, Fourth Edition. New York: The McGraw-Hill.
Har, W. M., Teo, K. L., Yee, K. M., (2008). FDI and Economic Growth Relationship: An Empirical Study on Malaysia (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 1398282). Social Science Research Network, Rochester, NY.
Herzer, D., (2013). Cross-country heterogeneity and the trade-income relationship. World Development, 44, pp.194-211.
Holland, D., Liadze, I., Rienzo, C., Wilkinson, D., (2013). The relationship between graduates and economic growth across countries. BIS research paper 110.
Jakob, B., (2016). Impact of Exchange Rate Regimes on Economic Growth. Undergraduate Economic Review 12.
Keeley, B. (2015), Income Inequality: The Gap between Rich and Poor, OECD Insights, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264246010-en.
Khan, N.H., Ju, Y., Hassan, S.T., (2019). Investigating the determinants of human development index in Pakistan: an empirical analysis. Environmental Science and Pollution Research 1–11.
Kim, D. H., & Lin, S. C., (2009). Trade and growth at different stages of economic development. Journal of Development Studies, 45(8), 1211-1224. Accessed from: https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380902862937.
Korkmaz, S. and Kulunk, I., (2016). Granger causality between life expectancy, education and economic growth in OECD countries. Economic Research Guardian, 6(1), p.2.
Kudaisi, B. V., & Idharhi, K. F. (2015). FDI, foreign debts and growth in developing countries: Evidence from Nigeria. Developing Country Studies, 5(17).
McPherson, M.F., Rakovski, T.S., (2000). Exchange Rates and Economic Growth in Kenya: An Econometric Analysis (No. 651).
Mehrara, M., Musai, M., (2013). The relationship between economic growth and human capital in developing countries. International Letters of Social and Humanistic Sciences 5, 55–62.
Mukolu, M.O., Otalu, J.A., Awosusi, C.T., (2013). Assessment of the impacts of foreign direct investment and interest rate on the growth of Nigerian economy. IOSR Journal of Business and Management 15, 40–44.
Newfarmer, R. and Sztajerowska, M., (2012). Trade and employment in a fastchanging world. Policy priorities for international trade and jobs, pp.7-73.
Obamuyi, T.M., (2009). An investigation of the relationship between interest rates and economic growth in Nigeria, 1970-2006. Journal of economics and International Finance, 1(4), pp.093-098.
O’Connor, Nat (2018) Economic inequality, social policy and a good society. Local Economy 2018, Vol. 33(6) 583–600 ! DOI: 10.1177/0269094218802987
OECD, (2012). Life expectancy and healthy life expectancy at birth. Health at a Glance. Europe 2012. OECD Publishing, Paris. Accessed from: https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264183896-4-en.
Piketty, T., & Zucman, G. (2014). Capital is back: Wealth-income ratios in rich countries 1700–2010. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129(3), 1255-1310.
Pillai, A., (2011). Impact of political regime and economic openness on income inequality: A tale of low-income and OECD countries. IUP Journal of Financial Economics 9, 60.
Pinho, C., Madaleno, M., (2015). Political Regimes and Economic Growth. Revista Enfoques 7, 473–492.
Przeworski, A., & Limongi, F. (1993). Political regimes and economic growth. Journal of economic perspectives, 7(3), 51-69.
Przeworski, A., (2004). Democracy and economic development. Mansfield & R. Sisson (Eds.), The evolution of political knowledge. democracy, autonomy, and conflict in comparative and international politics 300–324.
Ranis, G., 2004. Human development and economic growth. Yale University Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper.
Ranis, G., Stewart, F (2012). Success and failure in human development, Journal of Human Development and Capabilities Volume 13(2), 167-195.
Rodrik, D., (1993). Trade and industrial policy reform in developing countries: a review of recent theory and evidence. NBER working paper, (w4417).
Rodrik, D., (1995). Getting interventions right: how South Korea and Taiwan grew rich. Economic policy, 10(20), pp.53-107.
Rodrik, D., (1999). The new global economy and developing countries: making openness work (Vol. 24). Washington, DC: Overseas Development Council.
Rodrik, D., (1988). Imperfect competition, Scale economies and Trade Policy in Developing countries. In Robert Baldwin ed., Trade Policy issues and Empirical Analysis. Chicago press, 1988.
Romer, P. M. (1994). New goods, old theory, and the welfare costs of trade restrictions. Journal of Development Economics, 43, 5–38.
Romer, P. M. (1993). Idea gaps and object gaps in economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32, 543–573.
Romer. M. and C. Jones, eds., (1991). Markets in Developing Countries. Parallel Fragmented, and Black. San Francisco. ICS Press.
Romer, P.M., (1986). Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth. Journal of Political Economy, 94,1002-37.- (1990). Endogenous Technological Change. Journal of Political Economy, 98: S71-S101.
Romer, P. M., (1983). Dynamic Competitive Equilibria with Externalities, Increasing Returns, and Unbounded Growth, PhD thesis, University of Chicago (unpublished).
Rowlingson, K (2011) Does income inequality cause health and social problems? Joseph Rowntree foundation. September 2011
Sachs. J., (1987). Trade and Exchange Rate Policies in Growth Oriented Adjustment Programs. In V. Corbo, M. Goldstein and M. Khan, eds. GrowthOriented Adjustment programs, Washington, DC: IMF and World Bank.
Sachs,J. and A. Warner, (1995). Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity: 1, 1-118.313.
Sargan, J. D. (1988). Lectures on advanced econometric theory. Basil Blackwell.
Sargan, J. D. (1988). Testing for misspecification after estimating using instrumental variables. Contributions to Econometrics. Cambridge University Press.
Saymeh, A. A. F. & Orabi, M. M. A. (2013). The effect of interest rate, inflation rate, GDP, on real economic growth rate in Jordan. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(3), 341.
Semuel, H., Nurina, S., (2015). Analysis of the Effect of Inflation, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Indonesia. Social Sciences 13.
Shah, S., (2016). Determinants of human development index: A cross-country empirical analysis.
Shuaib, I.M., Augustine, O.E., Frank, A.O., (2015). Impact of Inflation Rate on the Economic Growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics, Management and Trade 1–11. https://doi.org/10.9734/BJEMT/2015/15293
Stiglitz, J. (2015). Inequality and Economic Growth, Joseph Stiglitz, The Political Quarterly 86(S1):134-155 (December 2015). DOI 10.1111/1467-923X.12237
Suri, T., Boozer, M. A., Ranis, G., & Stewart, F., (2011). Paths to success: The relationship between human development and economic growth. World Development, 39, 506–522.
Swagel, P., Roubini, N., Ozler, S., Alesina, A., (1992). Political Instability and Economic Growth.
Umesh Bastola and Pratikshya Sapkota Bastola, (2015). Causality between trade and economic growth in a least developed economy: Evidence from Nepal January 2015 The Journal of Developing Areas 49(4):197-213 DOI:10.1353/jda.2015.0138.
Wilkinson, R. G., & Picket, K. E. (2006). Income inequality and population health: A review and explanation of the evidence. Social Science & Medicine, 62(7), 1768-1784.
World Bank, (2013). World Development Indicators 2013. Washington, D.C.:
World Bank. Accessed from: http://data.worldbank.org [Accessed at 08.10.2013].
World of Economics, (2013). A comparison of the Gini and Atkinson Measures of Inequality. Accessed from: https://aworldofeconomics.wordpress.com/2013/07/12/a-comparison-of-the-gini-and-atkinson-measures-of-inequality/ [Accessed at 09.10.2019].
World Social Report (2020) Inequality in a Rapidly Changing World, published by United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs; ISBN (PDF): 9789210043670. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18356/7f5d0efc-en
Zahonogo, P. (2016). Trade and economic growth in developing countries: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of African Trade, 3, 41–56. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joat.2017.02.001
Received: September 22, 2021.
Reviewed: October 22, 2021.
Accepted: October 25, 2021
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).