MODELING THE PROCESS OF ECOLOGIZATION INVESTMENTS IN ENERGY SAVING IN RESIDENTIAL AND PUBLIC BUILDINGS OF CITIES BY USING THE METHOD OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS

Mariia Fedoruk; Lyudmyla Zahvoyska

doi:10.35774/jee2018.03.333

Authors

Mariia Fedoruk Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University
Lyudmyla Zahvoyska UNFU, Lviv

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35774/jee2018.03.333

Keywords:

Ecological measures of thermo-modernization, simulation modeling, in-vestments in energy saving, the mechanism of stimulation, system dynamics.

Abstract

Using the method of system dynamics, hypotheses about functioning of the mechanism of energy saving stimulation in buildings and its ecologization tools have been proposed and tested. The results of the survey conducted by domestic and foreign experts were used as the main empirical data for analysis and modeling. The constructed simulation models have allowed to prove the advisability of using multicriteria assessment of energy saving measures effectiveness, as well as to test the recommendations we propose concerning ecologiza- tion of the energy saving process by integrating environmental and social assessments into the rules for making investment decisions. Methods of system dynamics revealed undesirable consequences and points of resistance, which can cause the failure of the proposed intervention.

JEL: Q57.

Author Biographies

Mariia Fedoruk, Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University

MSc, Teaching Assistant.

Lyudmyla Zahvoyska, UNFU, Lviv

PhD, Associate Professor.

References

Denysyuk, S. (2013). Features of realization of the energy efficiency policy priorities of Ukraine. Power engineering, 7, 7-20.

Bennich, T., Belyazid, S., Kopainsky, B., & Diemer, A. (2018). The bio based economy: Dynamics governing transition pathways in the Swedish forestry sec-tor. Sustainability (Switzerland), 10(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/su10040976

Chevganova, V. & Petrova, A. (2014). Financing of energy saving projects by using schemes of leasing operations: domestic and foreign experience. Effective Economics, 11. http://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/op=1&z=3545

Farina, O. (2014). Economic bulletin Pereyaslav-Khmelnytsky Hryhoriy Skovoroda State Pedagogical University. Economic bulletin. , № 23/(1), 156-163.

Fedoruk, M., Zahvoyska, L. (2016). Results of SWOT-analysis of the city Lviv. Supplementing to the Integrated Development Strategy of Lviv 2012-2025 and to the Program of Sustainable Energy Development of Lviv until 2020, 36-41.

Zahvoyska, L. D., Fedoruk, M. I. (2017). Environmental Impact Assessment of Energy Saving Measures in Buildings by SIMAPRO8 Software. Scientific Bulletin of UNFU, 27(7), 14-20. https://doi.org/10.15421/40270702

Forrester, J. (1971). Counterintuitive behavior of social systems. Technology Review, 73(3), 52-68.

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0040-1625(71)80001-X

Forrester, J. W. (1992). Policies, decisions and information sources for modeling. European Journal of Operational Research, 59(1), 42-63. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(92)90006-U

GIZ (2010). State support for energy efficiency measures in buildings. Kyiv.

Holtz, G., Alkemade, F., De Haan, F., Kohler, J., Trutnevyte, E., Luthe, T., Ruutu, S. (2015). Prospects of modelling societal transitions: Position paper of an emerging community. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, 17, 41-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2015.05.006

Kopets, H. (2009). Application of financial intermediation mechanisms in implementation of energy saving and energy efficiency projects, 95-97.

Lane, D. C. (2008). The emergence and use of diagramming in system dynamics: A critical account. Syst. Res. Behav. Sci., 25(3-23). https://doi.org/10.1002/sres.826

Meadows, D. H. (2008). Thinking in Systems. A Primer. London: Earthscan.

Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J., Behrens, W. W. (1972). The limits to growth. New York: Universe books.

Minregion. Energy Efficiency Fund concept (2016).

Smentyna, N. (2016). State regulation of the energy efficiency in Ukraine: opportunities for population. Scientific Bulletin of the Odessa National Economic University 9, 135-146.

Sokolovska, Z., Klepikova, O. (2015). Applied models of system dynamics. Odessa: Astroprint.

Stave, K. A., Kopainsky, B. (2015). A system dynamics approach for examining mechanisms and pathways of food supply vulnerability. Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 5(3), 321-336. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13412-015-0289-x

Sterman, J. D. (2000). Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Management (Kd 6). New York: McGraw-Hill. https://doi.org/10.1108/ 13673270210417646

Sukhudolya, О. (2015). Strategic Management in the Energy Sector: Problems and Priorities for Improvement. Strategic Priorities, 1, 104-112.

Taukesheva, T. (2015). Mechanisms for Implementing Public Policy in Energy Efficiency and Energy Saving, State regulation of processes of economic and social development, 114-120 J o u r n a l o f E u r o p e a n E c o n o m y Vol. 17. № 3 (66). July-September 2018 ISSN 2519-4070

Titiaev, V., Getalo, H. (2012). Mechanism of activation of investment attractiveness of energy saving in the housing and communal sphere. Municipal economy of cities, 106, 111-123.

Tormosov, R. (2010). Comprehensive analysis of sources of financing of municipal energy investment projects in the field of production, transportation and supply of thermal energy. Effective Economics 11. http://www.economy.nayka.com.ua/?op=1&z=397

Van den Belt, M.; Kenyan, J.R.; Krueger, E.; Maynard, A.; Roy, M.G.; Raphael, I. (2010). Public sector administration of ecological economics systems using mediated modeling. Ann. N. Y. Acad. Sci., 1185, 196-210. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2009.05164.x

Videira, N.., Schneider, F.., Sekulova, F.., Kallis, G. (2014). Improving understanding on degrowth pathways: An exploratory study using collaborative causal models. Futures, 55(58-77). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2013.11.001

Volkov, V. (2014). Problems of energy saving in a housing stock. Economic bulletin Pereyaslav-Khmelnytsky Hryhoriy Skovoroda State Pedagogical Uni-versity, 83-90.