EU ENLARGEMENT TO THE EAST AND ITS IMPACT ON NON-ACCESSION COUNTRIES. GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPLIED ANALYSIS

Authors

  • Igor Eremenko Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

Keywords:

foreign trade, EU enlargement, technological lag, computable general equilibrium model, export, import, tariffs, trade balance, volume of output.

Abstract

The results and consequences of the EU enlargement to the East are investigated, especially is emphasized the impact it has on trade flows of the CEE countries. The model experiments are analyzed, i. e. Computable General Equilibrium Model is employed, and the database is aggregated into 5 regions and 8 sectors of economy. Besides, the concept of the effect of technological gap between the FSU and other countries is introduced.

 

References

Brocker, Johannes. How Would an EU-membership of the Visegrad-countries Affect Europe’s Economic Geography? The Annals of Regional Science Springer-Verlag 32:91-114, 1998.

Center for Global Trade Analysis Documentation for GTAP 4 Database and GTAP Software, http://www.agecon.purdue.edu/gtap, 2000.

Davies, Rob. Global Trade Analysis for Southern Africa. The resource Allocative Effects of Free Trade areas in Southern Africa paper presented at the EAGER Semi-Annual Workshop Johannesburg, South Africa, 1998.

Goto, Junichi, Hamada, Koichi. EU, NAFTA, and Asian Responses: A Perspective from the Calculus of Participation. NBER Working Paper 5323, October 1995.

Harrison, W. Glenn, Rutherford Thomas F. Tarr, David G. Economic Implication for Turkey of a Customs Union with the European Union, Policy Research Working Paper 1599, The World Bank, May, 1996.

Harrison, W. Glenn, Rutherford Thomas F., Ian Wooton The Economic Impact of the European Community, The American Economic Review, Volume 79, Issue 2, Papers and Proceedings of (the Hundred and First) 101st Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association, May, 1989,288-294.

Hertel, Thomas. W. Global Trade Analysis - Modeling and Applications, Hertel Eds, Cambridge University Press, 1997.

Hertel, Thomas W. and Steve McCorriston, Explaining the Gains from Trade Policy Reform, Review of International Economics (forthcoming, available at http://www.agecon.purdue.edu), 1998.

Martin, Carmela. The Impact of EU Trade Agreements with Central and East European Countries: The Case of Spain Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Economicas, Documentos de Trabajo series, 1995.

Michalopoulos, Constantine, Tarr, David. The Economics of Customs Unions in the Commonwealth of Independent States, Policy Research Working Paper, World Bank, April 24, 1997.

Rutherford Thomas F. Tarr, David G. Trade Liberalization and Endogenous Growth in a Small Open Economy: A Quantitative Assessment, Policy Research Working Paper, World Bank, May 6, 1998.

The European Commission, Enlargement Report, www.europa.eu.int.

How to Cite

Eremenko, Igor. “EU ENLARGEMENT TO THE EAST AND ITS IMPACT ON NON-ACCESSION COUNTRIES. GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPLIED ANALYSIS”. Journal of European Economy, vol. 1, no. 3, Sept. 2002, pp. 279-96, https://jeej.wunu.edu.ua/index.php/enjee/article/view/1290.