CENTRAL BANK BEHAVIOR IN MODERN MONETARY THEORY
Keywords:
Central banks, discrete decision, monetary policy, monetary rule, time inconsistency, transparency.Abstract
The gnosiological base of modern monetary theories is revealed on the basis of the maintenance analysis and rational expectations. The author confirms that pracsiologacal conclusions of time inconsistency model have not found wide approval at monetary policy theoretical and fundamental levels. It is proved that the further development of monetary theories depends on optimum institutional mechanisms of trust to the central banks and flexibility of their reactions to macroeconomic shocks maintenance. On its basis the adaptibility of models which are methodologicalally connected with a new macroeconomic paradigm to monetary policy institutional and functional requirements is substantiated.
References
Лагутін В., Кричевська Т. Довіра до монетарної політики: вибір грошово-кредитної стратегії для України // Вісник НБУ. - 2001. - № 11. - С. 22-25.
Лагутін В., Кричевська Т, Вибір стратегії монетарної політики // Фінанси України. - 2002. - № 10. - С. 3-15.
Юхименко П, Монетаристські ідеї «нових класиків» і Україна: проблеми сумісності // Історія народного господарства та економічної думки України. -2002. - Вип. 33-34.- С. 3-13.
Lucas R. Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs // American Economic Review. - 1973. - № 63/3. - P. 326-334.
Boll L., Mankiw Gr., Römer D. The New Keynesian Economics and the Output-Inflation Trade-off // Brookings Papers of Economic Activity. - 1988. -№1,-P. 1-65.
Barro R. Unanticipated Money Growth and Economic Activity in the United States / Money Expectations and Business Cycles in Macroeconomics. -New York: Academic Press, 1981.-P. 137-169.
Fischer St. Modern Approaches to Central Banking // NBER Working Paper. - 1995.-№ 5064 .-P. 1-54.
Cukierman A. Central Banking Strategy, Credibility, and Independence: Theory and Evidence. - Cambridge, Mass: MIT Press, 1992.
Kydland F., Prescott E. Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans // Journal of Political Economy . - 1977. - 85 (3). - P. 473-492.
Barro R., Gordon D. A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model // Journal of Political Economy . - 1983. - 101 (3). - P. 589-610.
Friedman M. The Effects of a Full-Employment Policy on Economic Stability: A Formal Analysis // Essays in Positive Economics. - Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1953; Friedman M. A Program for Monetary Stability. - New York: Fordham University Press, 1959.
Barro R., Gordon D. Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy // Journal of Monetary Economics. - 1983. - № 12. - P. 101 — 120.
Долан Эд. Деньги, банки и денежно-кредитная политика / Пер. с англ. -СПб, 1994.
Westaway P. Does Time Inconsistency Really Matter? / Dynamic Modeling and Control of National Economies, - International Association of Automatic Control. - Edinburgh, 1989. - P. 145-152.
Nowaihi AM., Levine P. Can Reputation Resolve the Credibility Problem? // Journal of Monetary Economics. - 1994. - № 33. - Vol. 1. - P. 355-380.
Rogoff К. The optimal Degree of Commitment to a Monetary Target // Quarterly Journal of Economics. - 1985. - 100, - P. 1169-1190.
Waller C. The Choice of a Conservative Central Banker in a Multisector Economy//American Economic Review. - 1992. - № 82. - P. 1006-1012.
Lohmann S. The Optimal Degree of Commitment: Credibility versus Flexibility // American Economic Review. - 1992. - 82/1. - P. 273-286.
Walsh C. Optimal Contracts for Central Bankers // American Economic Review. - 1995. - 85/1. - P. 150-167.
Persson Т., Tabellini G. Designing institutions for Monetary Stability // Car-negie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. - 1993. - № 39. - P. 53-89.
Svensson L. Optimal Inflation Targets, Conservative Central Banker, and Linear Inflation Contracts // American Economic Review. - 1997. - 87/1. -P.98-114.
Nowaihi A., Levine P. Independent and Accountable: Walsh Contracts and Credibility Problem // ESRC Working Paper. - 1996. - №11. // www.esrc.org
Моисеев С. Открытость и транспарентность денежно-кредитной политики // Банковское дело. - 2001. - № 5. - С. 2-6.
Bernarke В., Mishkin F, Inflation Targeting: A New Framework for Monetary Policy? // Journal of Economic Perspectives. - 1997. - № 11. - P. 97-116.
Meyer L. Rules and Discretion. Speech at the Owen Graduate School of Management, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, January 16, 2002 // www.federalreserve.gov.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).